2020-11-24 10:50:02 10:50 11/24/20 11/2410:50 11/24/2010:50 | Today's U.S. reportsToday's U.S. reports revealed a disappointing November consumer confidence drop, an expected November pull-back for the Richmond Fed index, and remarkably strong September and Q3 gains for the home price indexes. For confidence, analysts saw a November drop to a 3-month low of 96.1 from 101.4 (was 100.9) led by expectations, alongside small job differential and inflation index gains. For Richmond, a November drop to 15 from an all-time high of 29 was accompanied by an ISM-adjusted decline to a still-solid 55.3 from a 2-year high of 61.0. The FHFA house price index surged 1.7% in September, leaving the largest monthly gain on record and another all-time high, while the S&P Case Shiller house price index climbed by a solid 1.2% to leave a fresh record high for that index as well. Analysts're seeing a modest but thus far manageable pull-back in expectations with the virus resurgence, while the housing market is in the midst of an historic boom. The consumer confidence pull-back in most November surveys still leaves firm levels, while the ISM-adjusted producer sentiment measures on average are tracking a small pull-back to a still-elevated 56 in November from a 2-year high of 58 in October but the same 56 in September. |
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